Smaug the Impenetrable (Commander) - Burn

Smaug the Impenetrable
Rank #452
307decks
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Kyle Massa
Aug 19, 2026
Kyle Massa
The Over/Under: Predicting the Popularity of The Hobbit Commanders
Which of The Hobbit's sixty-three new commanders will crack 1,200 decks in a year? Over/Under predictions for every legend in the set.
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Smaug the Magnificent
78%inclusion239 decks307 decks
7.4xlift
Smaug, Wicked Worm
71%inclusion202 decks286 decks
6.7xlift
Dragon-Cursed Halls
61%inclusion186 decks307 decks
8.8xlift
Dragon's Desire
41%inclusion127 decks307 decks
9.1xlift
The Sackville-Bagginses
34%inclusion100 decks295 decks
6.4xlift
High Lift Cards
Dizzying Gaze
8.8%inclusion27 decks307 decks
12xlift
Cut Propulsion
76%inclusion234 decks307 decks
12xlift
Pariah's Shield
64%inclusion195 decks307 decks
12xlift
Dawnsire, Sunstar Dreadnought
63%inclusion193 decks307 decks
12xlift
Blazing Sunsteel
46%inclusion142 decks307 decks
11xlift
Simulacrum
12%inclusion38 decks307 decks
11xlift
Wrathful Red Dragon
36%inclusion109 decks307 decks
11xlift
Expedited Inheritance
17%inclusion51 decks307 decks
11xlift
Self-Destruct
77%inclusion236 decks307 decks
10xlift
Fiendlash
24%inclusion75 decks307 decks
10xlift
Top Cards
Blasphemous Act
95%inclusion293 decks307 decks
1.7xlift
Mayhem Devil
83%inclusion256 decks307 decks
3.0xlift
Mirkwood Bats
78%inclusion239 decks307 decks
4.7xlift
Goldspan Dragon
78%inclusion238 decks307 decks
5.4xlift
Pain for All
76%inclusion233 decks307 decks
9.4xlift
Reckless Fireweaver
73%inclusion224 decks307 decks
5.1xlift
Dark Ritual
71%inclusion218 decks307 decks
1.3xlift
Pyrohemia
67%inclusion206 decks307 decks
7.5xlift
Pestilence
67%inclusion205 decks307 decks
8.3xlift
Professional Face-Breaker
65%inclusion199 decks307 decks
3.6xlift
Game Changers
Jeska's Will
41%inclusion126 decks307 decks
1.4xlift
The One Ring
30%inclusion93 decks307 decks
3.2xlift
Demonic Tutor
28%inclusion86 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Vampiric Tutor
22%inclusion67 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Ancient Tomb
19%inclusion58 decks307 decks
2.0xlift
Orcish Bowmasters
18%inclusion54 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Gamble
12%inclusion36 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Mana Vault
10%inclusion32 decks307 decks
2.4xlift
Chrome Mox
8.8%inclusion27 decks307 decks
1.8xlift
Underworld Breach
7.2%inclusion22 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Creatures
Weftstalker Ardent
63%inclusion194 decks307 decks
5.3xlift
Xorn
63%inclusion192 decks307 decks
5.0xlift
Nadier's Nightblade
59%inclusion182 decks307 decks
5.5xlift
Hellkite Tyrant
59%inclusion180 decks307 decks
7.5xlift
Academy Manufactor
56%inclusion173 decks307 decks
5.3xlift
Marionette Apprentice
54%inclusion166 decks307 decks
4.2xlift
Crime Novelist
45%inclusion139 decks307 decks
5.0xlift
Magda, Brazen Outlaw
41%inclusion127 decks307 decks
6.3xlift
Ingenious Artillerist
41%inclusion125 decks307 decks
6.0xlift
Hexing Squelcher
39%inclusion119 decks307 decks
1.9xlift
Brash Taunter
36%inclusion110 decks307 decks
2.5xlift
Disciple of the Vault
33%inclusion100 decks307 decks
5.2xlift
Cavern-Hoard Dragon
32%inclusion99 decks307 decks
5.6xlift
Ancient Copper Dragon
31%inclusion95 decks307 decks
5.4xlift
Knuckles the Echidna
29%inclusion89 decks307 decks
6.0xlift
Juri, Master of the Revue
28%inclusion85 decks307 decks
4.5xlift
Rivaz of the Claw
25%inclusion76 decks307 decks
10xlift
Dragonspeaker Shaman
23%inclusion70 decks307 decks
10xlift
Grim Hireling
23%inclusion70 decks307 decks
2.7xlift
Draconic Visitor
21%inclusion20 decks95 decks
7.4xlift
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
17%inclusion53 decks307 decks
1.8xlift
Havoc Jester
17%inclusion51 decks307 decks
10xlift
Dragonlord's Servant
16%inclusion48 decks307 decks
9.3xlift
Decadent Dragon
14%inclusion43 decks307 decks
3.3xlift
Twinflame Tyrant
13%inclusion40 decks307 decks
1.5xlift
Storm-Kiln Artist
13%inclusion40 decks307 decks
0.6xlift
Mastermind Plum
12%inclusion38 decks307 decks
4.4xlift
Terror of the Peaks
12%inclusion38 decks307 decks
3.0xlift
Kellogg, Dangerous Mind
12%inclusion36 decks307 decks
4.0xlift
Marionette Master
11%inclusion35 decks307 decks
2.2xlift
Goldlust Triad
10%inclusion32 decks307 decks
3.3xlift
Generous Plunderer
10%inclusion32 decks307 decks
2.3xlift
Simian Spirit Guide
10%inclusion30 decks307 decks
1.7xlift
Magda, the Hoardmaster
10%inclusion30 decks307 decks
3.3xlift
Barbed Servitor
9.4%inclusion29 decks307 decks
4.4xlift
Roaming Throne
8.8%inclusion27 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Atsushi, the Blazing Sky
8.1%inclusion25 decks307 decks
3.3xlift
Screaming Nemesis
8.1%inclusion25 decks307 decks
1.4xlift
Shadow the Hedgehog
8.1%inclusion25 decks307 decks
5.3xlift
Kalain, Reclusive Painter
7.8%inclusion24 decks307 decks
2.8xlift
Smaug, the Great Calamity
7.0%inclusion20 decks284 decks
8.2xlift
Prosper, Tome-Bound
6.8%inclusion21 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Captain Lannery Storm
6.8%inclusion21 decks307 decks
3.1xlift
Stuffy Doll
6.2%inclusion19 decks307 decks
3.3xlift
Treasonous Ogre
6.2%inclusion19 decks307 decks
2.1xlift
Imskir Iron-Eater
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
5.0xlift
Gadrak, the Crown-Scourge
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
4.4xlift
Hedron Detonator
5.5%inclusion17 decks307 decks
4.6xlift
Ganax, Astral Hunter
5.2%inclusion16 decks307 decks
5.0xlift
Craterclaw Colossus
5.2%inclusion16 decks307 decks
7.5xlift
Instants
Lightning Bolt
63%inclusion194 decks307 decks
1.9xlift
Big Score
62%inclusion189 decks307 decks
2.2xlift
Deadly Dispute
54%inclusion167 decks307 decks
1.8xlift
Seething Song
51%inclusion156 decks307 decks
2.3xlift
Unexpected Windfall
47%inclusion143 decks307 decks
2.7xlift
Abrade
45%inclusion138 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Chaos Warp
44%inclusion135 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Bolt Bend
41%inclusion127 decks307 decks
2.2xlift
Deflecting Swat
40%inclusion124 decks307 decks
1.5xlift
Fire Covenant
38%inclusion118 decks307 decks
3.7xlift
Redirect Lightning
32%inclusion98 decks307 decks
1.8xlift
Return the Favor
24%inclusion75 decks307 decks
1.3xlift
Demand Answers
23%inclusion72 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Untimely Malfunction
22%inclusion69 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Pyretic Ritual
22%inclusion69 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Rakdos Charm
21%inclusion63 decks307 decks
0.4xlift
Starstorm
20%inclusion62 decks307 decks
8.3xlift
Terminate
20%inclusion60 decks307 decks
0.5xlift
Deadly Rollick
19%inclusion58 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
The Last Agni Kai
18%inclusion56 decks307 decks
2.9xlift
Imp's Mischief
17%inclusion52 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Valakut Awakening
17%inclusion51 decks307 decks
1.4xlift
Cabal Ritual
15%inclusion46 decks307 decks
1.4xlift
Tibalt's Trickery
15%inclusion45 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Red Elemental Blast
14%inclusion44 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Fell the Profane
12%inclusion38 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Withering Torment
12%inclusion38 decks307 decks
0.5xlift
Bedevil
12%inclusion36 decks307 decks
0.4xlift
Thrill of Possibility
11%inclusion35 decks307 decks
0.6xlift
Pyroblast
10%inclusion31 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Desperate Ritual
10%inclusion30 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Malakir Rebirth
8.8%inclusion27 decks307 decks
0.4xlift
Galvanic Blast
8.8%inclusion27 decks307 decks
6.5xlift
Vision of Love
8.5%inclusion26 decks307 decks
3.2xlift
Soul's Fire
8.1%inclusion25 decks307 decks
4.6xlift
Comet Storm
7.5%inclusion23 decks307 decks
2.5xlift
Stinging Study
7.2%inclusion22 decks307 decks
5.3xlift
Flashback
7.2%inclusion22 decks307 decks
0.6xlift
Arcbond
6.8%inclusion21 decks307 decks
4.7xlift
Fire Magic
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
1.5xlift
Stonesplitter Bolt
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
8.8xlift
Lightning Strike
5.5%inclusion17 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Flick a Coin
5.2%inclusion16 decks307 decks
2.4xlift
Shock
5.2%inclusion16 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Sorceries
Star of Extinction
64%inclusion195 decks307 decks
8.9xlift
Chain Reaction
63%inclusion193 decks307 decks
6.6xlift
Chain Lightning
61%inclusion186 decks307 decks
10xlift
Exsanguinate
47%inclusion144 decks307 decks
2.7xlift
Crackle with Power
42%inclusion129 decks307 decks
5.1xlift
Mana Geyser
36%inclusion112 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Night's Whisper
30%inclusion92 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Torment of Hailfire
25%inclusion78 decks307 decks
3.2xlift
Feed the Swarm
23%inclusion71 decks307 decks
0.5xlift
Reckless Endeavor
23%inclusion70 decks307 decks
7.1xlift
Faithless Looting
22%inclusion68 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Seize the Spoils
21%inclusion65 decks307 decks
2.1xlift
Desolation of Smaug
20%inclusion60 decks307 decks
7.9xlift
Vandalblast
17%inclusion53 decks307 decks
0.6xlift
Flame Slash
15%inclusion47 decks307 decks
9.4xlift
Sign in Blood
14%inclusion43 decks307 decks
0.5xlift
Reanimate
12%inclusion38 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Read the Bones
10%inclusion32 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Diabolic Tutor
8.8%inclusion27 decks307 decks
1.8xlift
Beseech the Mirror
8.5%inclusion26 decks307 decks
1.8xlift
Shivan Meteor
8.1%inclusion25 decks307 decks
10xlift
Hell to Pay
8.1%inclusion25 decks307 decks
3.6xlift
Blood Money
7.8%inclusion24 decks307 decks
2.0xlift
Pirate's Pillage
7.5%inclusion23 decks307 decks
2.0xlift
Chandra's Ignition
7.5%inclusion23 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Rite of Flame
7.2%inclusion22 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Geosurge
6.8%inclusion21 decks307 decks
9.5xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
6.5%inclusion20 decks307 decks
1.5xlift
Wheel of Fortune
6.5%inclusion20 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Jaya's Immolating Inferno
6.5%inclusion20 decks307 decks
2.3xlift
Diabolic Intent
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Brass's Bounty
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
1.9xlift
Strike It Rich
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Insatiable Avarice
5.5%inclusion17 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Imperial Seal
5.2%inclusion16 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Grapeshot
5.2%inclusion16 decks307 decks
0.5xlift
Utility Artifacts
Swiftfoot Boots
37%inclusion114 decks307 decks
1.3xlift
Ruby Medallion
33%inclusion101 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Requiem Monolith
28%inclusion86 decks307 decks
8.3xlift
The Reaver Cleaver
26%inclusion80 decks307 decks
4.2xlift
Idol of Oblivion
14%inclusion44 decks307 decks
3.5xlift
My Precious
10%inclusion31 decks307 decks
3.2xlift
Jet Medallion
9.4%inclusion29 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Wayfarer's Bauble
9.1%inclusion28 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Lightning Greaves
8.8%inclusion27 decks307 decks
0.2xlift
Dragonspark Reactor
8.1%inclusion25 decks307 decks
10xlift
Cranial Ram
8.1%inclusion25 decks307 decks
5.8xlift
Cranial Plating
7.5%inclusion23 decks307 decks
4.9xlift
Mjölnir, Hammer of Thor
7.2%inclusion22 decks307 decks
4.9xlift
Basilisk Collar
6.8%inclusion21 decks307 decks
0.5xlift
Coin of Mastery
6.8%inclusion21 decks307 decks
4.0xlift
Wishclaw Talisman
6.2%inclusion19 decks307 decks
1.3xlift
The Fire Crystal
6.2%inclusion19 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Enchantments
Revel in Riches
54%inclusion167 decks307 decks
5.9xlift
Alchemist's Talent
42%inclusion130 decks307 decks
5.9xlift
Black Market Connections
41%inclusion126 decks307 decks
1.8xlift
Rain of Riches
39%inclusion120 decks307 decks
5.2xlift
Spiteful Banditry
30%inclusion91 decks307 decks
5.9xlift
The Misty Mountains Cold
24%inclusion73 decks302 decks
6.9xlift
Phyrexian Arena
23%inclusion72 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
There and Back Again
22%inclusion67 decks307 decks
6.9xlift
Descent into Avernus
19%inclusion59 decks307 decks
1.3xlift
Fiery Emancipation
18%inclusion55 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Agent of the Iron Throne
17%inclusion53 decks307 decks
4.7xlift
City on Fire
10%inclusion30 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Last Laugh
8.1%inclusion25 decks307 decks
7.8xlift
Curse of Opulence
6.5%inclusion20 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Last Light of Durin's Day
5.3%inclusion16 decks300 decks
8.2xlift
Necropotence
5.2%inclusion16 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Utility Lands
Bojuka Bog
44%inclusion135 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Treasure Vault
37%inclusion114 decks307 decks
4.8xlift
Mines of Moria
30%inclusion92 decks307 decks
4.5xlift
Reliquary Tower
24%inclusion74 decks307 decks
1.3xlift
Urborg, Tomb of Yawgmoth
23%inclusion72 decks307 decks
1.4xlift
Rogue's Passage
20%inclusion62 decks307 decks
1.4xlift
Command Beacon
17%inclusion51 decks307 decks
2.4xlift
Great Furnace
15%inclusion47 decks307 decks
2.8xlift
Vault of Whispers
12%inclusion38 decks307 decks
2.7xlift
Urza's Saga
12%inclusion37 decks307 decks
2.0xlift
Witch's Clinic
11%inclusion34 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Arena of Glory
10%inclusion31 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Cabal Coffers
9.4%inclusion29 decks307 decks
1.5xlift
Temple of the False God
7.8%inclusion24 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
War Room
6.8%inclusion21 decks307 decks
2.0xlift
Valakut, the Molten Pinnacle
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
3.9xlift
Inventors' Fair
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
3.8xlift
Takenuma, Abandoned Mire
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Spinerock Knoll
5.5%inclusion17 decks307 decks
0.4xlift
Mana Artifacts
Sol Ring
96%inclusion296 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Arcane Signet
89%inclusion274 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Talisman of Indulgence
61%inclusion187 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Rakdos Signet
46%inclusion141 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Fellwar Stone
33%inclusion100 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Thought Vessel
19%inclusion57 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Mind Stone
15%inclusion47 decks307 decks
0.6xlift
Thran Dynamo
14%inclusion42 decks307 decks
3.6xlift
Lotus Petal
10%inclusion30 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Exploding Barrel
10%inclusion30 decks307 decks
10xlift
Dragon's Hoard
8.8%inclusion27 decks307 decks
6.9xlift
Mox Opal
8.5%inclusion26 decks307 decks
2.4xlift
Cursed Mirror
6.8%inclusion21 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Liquimetal Torque
6.8%inclusion21 decks307 decks
1.6xlift
Glittering Stockpile
6.2%inclusion19 decks307 decks
2.5xlift
Commander's Sphere
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Lands
Mountain
98%inclusion302 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Swamp
97%inclusion299 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Command Tower
90%inclusion277 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Dragonskull Summit
78%inclusion240 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Smoldering Marsh
73%inclusion225 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Blood Crypt
66%inclusion202 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Sulfurous Springs
57%inclusion175 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Luxury Suite
56%inclusion172 decks307 decks
1.3xlift
Haunted Ridge
50%inclusion155 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Foreboding Ruins
48%inclusion148 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Blazemire Verge
47%inclusion145 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Bloodstained Mire
43%inclusion133 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Tainted Peak
41%inclusion126 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Graven Cairns
36%inclusion112 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Raucous Theater
29%inclusion90 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Exotic Orchard
29%inclusion90 decks307 decks
0.9xlift
Dark Fortress
29%inclusion88 decks307 decks
1.7xlift
Blightstep Pathway
26%inclusion81 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Mount Doom
26%inclusion80 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Shadowblood Ridge
26%inclusion79 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Rakdos Carnarium
20%inclusion60 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Temple of Malice
19%inclusion57 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Cavern of Souls
17%inclusion52 decks307 decks
2.8xlift
Valakut Awakening
17%inclusion51 decks307 decks
1.4xlift
Blackcleave Cliffs
16%inclusion50 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Fabled Passage
15%inclusion47 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Badlands
15%inclusion45 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Canyon Slough
15%inclusion45 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Path of Ancestry
15%inclusion45 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
Fell the Profane
12%inclusion38 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Evolving Wilds
11%inclusion34 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Reflecting Pool
10%inclusion32 decks307 decks
2.3xlift
Terramorphic Expanse
8.8%inclusion27 decks307 decks
0.7xlift
Malakir Rebirth
8.8%inclusion27 decks307 decks
0.4xlift
Scalding Tarn
7.8%inclusion24 decks307 decks
1.2xlift
Arid Mesa
7.5%inclusion23 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
City of Brass
7.5%inclusion23 decks307 decks
1.1xlift
Wooded Foothills
7.2%inclusion22 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Gemstone Caverns
7.2%inclusion22 decks307 decks
1.7xlift
Mana Confluence
7.2%inclusion22 decks307 decks
1.3xlift
Polluted Delta
7.2%inclusion22 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Bloodfell Caves
6.5%inclusion20 decks307 decks
0.4xlift
Shatterskull Smashing
6.5%inclusion20 decks307 decks
1.5xlift
Myriad Landscape
5.9%inclusion18 decks307 decks
0.5xlift
Verdant Catacombs
5.5%inclusion17 decks307 decks
1.0xlift
Marsh Flats
5.2%inclusion16 decks307 decks
0.8xlift
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